EU energy end-uses analysis and 2050 Low-Carbon scenarios - part VI - KEP energy Magazine - KEP energy

The RES play a primary role in Energy Roadmap 2050, representing one of the four decarbonization strategies. The RES penetration is relevant in all scenarios.

The overall final energy demand fuelled from RES is different among scenarios. In 2050 the RES reach a 75,2% share in the “High RES” scenario, and a 55% share in the others decarbonization scenarios.

Regarding the heating/cooling final energy demand, the RES fuelled share, both from distributed generation and from district heating/cooling, should increase from the 20% in 2020 to 25% in 2050 in the Reference Scenario, to 55% in 2050 in the “High RES” scenario and to 45% in 2050 in the others decarbonization scenarios.

The thermal final energy demand in the households and services sectors should decrease. The overall final energy demand increase is due to the industry sector.

During the 2005-2050 period the electric final energy demand should increase in all scenarios and in all sectors, except the services sector. This occurrence is more deep in the Reference Scenario, and less deep in the “Energy Efficiency” scenario.

The final energy demand increase in the buildings sector is due to the fuel-switching from fossil fuels to electricity in the heating plants, and from the widespread of the appliances end-use. In the households sector prevails the final energy demand increase, whilst in the services sector prevails the energy efficiency increase.